Abstract
The aim of the study was to assess machine learning-enhanced seismic attribute analysis for reservoir quality prediction in clastic and Balkan-type oil fields. The validation study was performed on the open-access Project Penobscot seismic and reservoir data for a range of attributes within the predictor space, as well as for the four reservoir quality variables. XGBoost showed the best regression results for all continuous parameters, with the highest accuracy for porosity (R2 = 0.88, root mean square error = 0.024, mean absolute error = 0.018), followed by the sandiness index (R2 = 0.85, root mean square error = 0.054, mean absolute error = 0.039), whereas permeability remained the most difficult parameter to predict (R2 = 0.76, root mean square error = 16.9, mean absolute error = 12.4). Facies classification also demonstrated stable performance, with accuracy of 0.84, precision of 0.82, recall of 0.79, and F1-score of 0.8. The predicted parameter distributions revealed a heterogeneous reservoir system, with porosity as the most stable parameter, sandiness index showing intermediate variability, and permeability displaying the highest contrast. Integrated interpretation of the predicted indicators differentiated the reservoir into high-, moderate-, and low-quality zones with indices of 86, 64, and 38, respectively. In conclusion, reservoir quality is primarily controlled by the factors related to storage and flow potential, sand bodies, and facies, yet machine learning-enhanced methods can effectively assist reservoir engineers in making accurate reservoir predictions in these heterogeneous systems. The practical value of this study is in the potential use of this established workflow to effectively screen for and prioritise oil and gas production within the reservoirs with the help of machine learning, especially those geologically structurally complex clastic systems